Dufatiye ku cyifuzo, raporo yo kugurisha impamba muri Amerika yoherezwa mu mahanga ku wa gatanu ushize yerekanye ko guhera ku cyumweru cyo ku ya 16 Gicurasi, igurishwa ry’ipamba muri Amerika ryiyongereyeho imipira 203.000, ryiyongera 30% ugereranije n’icyumweru gishize na 19% bivuye ku kigereranyo cya ibyumweru bine bishize. Kugura Ubushinwa byagize uruhare runini, kandi ibyifuzo byinshi byashyigikiraga igiciro cy’ipamba muri Amerika.
Ku ya 30 Gicurasi, mu Ihuriro ry'ibihugu 2024 Ubushinwa ryakiriwe mu ishyirahamwe ry'Abashinwa, Michael Edwards, umuyobozi n'Umuyobozi w'Abihengereza Coupluke Co. Isoko ry'ipamba ku isi ".
Michael yerekanye ko ejo hazaza h'isi y'isi ishobora guhinduka mu miterere, ahanini mu bijyanye no gutanga umusaruro, ibyoherezwa mu mahanga no kohereza. Mu rwego rwo gutanga umusaruro, ikirere muri Texas, Amerika, ntabwo cyari cyiza muri 2023, cyagabanije kimwe cya kabiri cy'umusaruro. Ubushinwa bwaguzwe kimwe cya gatatu cy'ipamba muri Amerika mu 23/24, cyatumye ipamba yo muri Amerika mu bihe bikomeye, byari bitandukanye n'ibintu bidatinze mu yandi masoko yo gutanga amasoko. Australiya yari ifite imvura nyinshi vuba aha, kandi umusaruro ukunze kwiyongera. Biteganijwe ko umusaruro wa pamba wa Berezile kandi uteganijwe gushyiraho amateka mashya umwaka utaha. Mu rwego rwo kohereza ibicuruzwa hanze, umusanzu w'amajyepfo ku isoko ry'isi ry'ipamba ryiyongereye cyane, kandi Burezili yegereye igipimo cya Amerika mu isoko ry'isi ry'isi ry'isi. Ibi bihindura byubatswe bizagira ingaruka ku isoko. Kubyerekeranye no kohereza, igihe cyibihe byigihe cotton yahindutse. Mubihe byashize, akenshi byaburanishwaga no gutanga igihembwe cya gatatu, kandi byari ngombwa gutegereza ipamba kuva mu majyaruguru yisi ku rutonde. Ibi ntibikiriho.
Kimwe mu biranga ihindagurika ku isoko kuva mu ntangiriro z'umwaka kugeza ubu ni ihindagurika ryinshi. Gutanga ipamba yo muri Amerika hamwe nogutanga bihagije ibindi bihugu bitanga ipamba byateye ihindagurika rishingiye ku ipamba ritari Amerika. Igihe kizaza cyahiswemo hamwe nibiciro bya Us Stand mumasoko yo gutanga na Amerika byatumye abacuruzi mpuzamahanga b'ipamba badufata imyambarire mpuzamahanga, arimwe mumpamvu zo kugabanuka mubihe byigihe kizaza. Impinduka zukuri ziriho kumasoko mugihe n'umwanya birashobora gukomeza, kandi isoko rya barafu ntirizemerera abacuruzi barangize gushyuha binyuze mumyanya ndende mugihe kizaza.
Dukurikije icyifuzo cy'ibisabwa mu mahanga mu mahanga n'umubano wacyo n'isoko mpuzamahanga, ihuriro riri hagati y'ibiciro by'ubushinwa n'ibiciro mpuzamahanga biri hejuru cyane. Uyu mwaka, Ubushinwa buri mu byuzu burenga. Kuva muri Mutarama kugeza Mata, ipamba y'Ubushinwa yageze kuri toni miliyoni 2.6, kandi iyi mibare irashobora kuzamuka kugera kuri toni zigera kuri miliyoni 3 mu mwaka. Hatabayeho Ubushinwa butumizwa mu mahanga, birasabwa niba ibiciro mpuzamahanga bya pamba bishobora gutuzwa.
Muri 202/4/25, biteganijwe ko umusaruro w'ipamba muri Amerika ushobora kwiyongera ku buryo bugaragara, kandi biracyashidikanywaho niba ubushobozi bw'umusaruro wa Pari ya Burezili bushobora kugera kuri toni miliyoni 3.6. Byongeye kandi, ibiza by'ikirere nk'umwuzure n'ubushyuhe bwo hejuru nabyo bizagira ingaruka zikomeye ku musaruro w'ibihugu bitanga ipamba nka Pakisitani, Ubuhinde, n'Ubugereki, kandi umusaruro w'ipamba wo ku isi urashobora kugira ingaruka ku mirimo y'isi.
Ingamba z'isi zafashwe zo gusubiza imihindagurikire y'ikirere nazo zizagira ingaruka ku bizaza by'ipamba. Ingamba zo kugabanya imyanda, no guteza imbere ubukungu bwizengurutse, ndetse no kwiyongera kubikoresho birambye kandi bizima, bizashyiraho igitutu ku nzoka zizaza.
Muri rusange, igiciro cyipamba kirimo guhindagurika kurwego runaka mumyaka mike ishize nyuma yicyorezo kirangiye, kandi isoko ntabwo yunguka. Guhindura isimba ku isi kuva mu majyaruguru yisi kugeza ku isi y'Amajyepfo yazanye ibibazo gucunga ibyago. Igipimo cyibikorwa byatumijwe mu mahanga bizafasha gutuza igiciro cya papa yisi yose uyumwaka, ariko kutamenya neza isoko bizaza birakomeye.
Dukurikije amakuru yubuyobozi rusange bwa gasutamo, igihugu cyanjye cyatumijwe toni 440.000 zamayoko muri Mata, kubungabunga 325% mugihe cyumwaka ushize, ibarura rya 325% ryagabanutseho toni 520.000 ryiyongereye Toni 6.600, byerekana ko imbaraga zo mu rugo zishira mu gihugu zingana, ariko ibarura ry'ibigo iri ku rwego rwo hejuru. Niba icyifuzo cyanyuma atari cyiza, ubushobozi bwikigo bwo gusya ibarura buzashira intege buhoro buhoro. Muri Mata, igihugu cyanjye cyoherezwa mu gihugu no ku myambaro cyaguye mu mwaka wa 908% by'umwaka-ku mwaka, kugurisha imyenda byaguye mu kwezi k'ukwezi-ukwezi, kandi kunywa nyuma byari bikennye.
Nk'uko ibitekerezo byaturutse ku bahinzi b'ipamba, gutunganya imishinga n'inzego z'ubuhinzi za Perefegitura, imijyi n'intara mu majyepfo ya Xinjiag mu majyepfo ya Xinjiang, barimo Kashgan, Korla na Aksu, Kuche , Wensu, Awati, nibindi), yahuye nanone ibintu bikomeye bizwi, hamwe numuyaga mwinshi, imvura nyinshi nuruziga byateje ibyangiritse kubice bimwe by'ipamba. Abahinzi b'ipamba bafashe ingamba zitandukanye kugira ngo bakemure ikibazo, nk'ibyuzuza ku mazi ku gihe, bitera ifumbire y'abahote, basubiramo no kugabanuka.
Kubera ingaruka zigarukira kuri iki gihe kibi, abahinzi bahinduye ku rubanza kandi basunika ubwoko bw'iminsi 110-125, igihe gihagije cyo gukura mu nshuro z'ubukonje mu mpera z'Ukwakira), igihe gihagije cyo Gucura mu Bukonje mu mpera z'ukwakira) hejuru muri Kamena-Kanama. Ingaruka z'ibiza zirashobora kwishyurwa. Byongeye kandi, ikirere mu turere icumi by'ipamba mu majyaruguru ya Xinjiang ni byiza kandi ubushyuhe bwegeranijwe ni bwinshi, kandi gukura kw'imirongo y'ipamba buruta mu myaka ibiri ishize. Kubwibyo, inganda nyinshi zikomeje guca urubanza ngo "Ahantu ho gutera bizagabanuka gato kandi ibisohoka biziyongera gato" muri Xinjiag muri 2024/25.
Kugeza ubu, imishinga yimyenda iri mu gihombo, imishinga yimyenda ifite intege nke, kandi kugurisha papa biragoye kwiyongera. Muri icyo gihe, icyo gihugu cyatumije mu mahanga ubwinshi bw'ubupamba cy'Abanyamerika nacyo cyashyize igitutu ku ruhande rw'imbere mu gihugu. Nubwo imyumvire yisoko yateye imbere, ibiciro byubu hamwe nibisabwa biracyashobora gushyigikira ibikorwa byo gukomeza ibiciro byapamba. Birasabwa gukomeza gutegereza no kubona imyumvire mugihe cyo kubaho.
Gutanga no gusaba isoko by'ipamba birarekuye, kandi kugabanuka kw'ibiciro bya Irn bifite ibitekerezo bibi hejuru, kandi harakenewe guhinduka mu biciro by'ipamba. Agace ko gutera no kubura ibihe byiringiro byingenzi kumasoko mpuzamahanga. Kugeza ubu, ikirere mu bihugu byibanze bitanga umusaruro w'isoko ni ibisanzwe, kandi gutegereza umusaruro mwinshi birakomeje. Agace k'akarere ka Amerika karashobora kwiyongera mu mpera za Kamena. Kunywa mu rugo ni ugutandukanya kwiteze. Kugeza ubu, kumanuka kuri shampiyona yisoko irashimangirwa, ariko imbaraga za Macroconomique zishobora gutuma ibiyobyabwenge bizaza. Biteganijwe ko ibiciro by'ipamba bizahindagurika mu gihe gito. Ibihe byihariye bigomba kugenwa hakurikijwe uburyo bwo kuza no gusaba ibiza, kandi gutanga no gusaba impinduka bigomba kwibandaho.